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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.36vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+1.75vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.03+0.58vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.43-0.98vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35-1.87vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.35-1.34vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.55-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36U. S. Naval Academy2.140.2%1st Place
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3.75Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.58Georgetown University2.030.2%1st Place
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3.02University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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3.13George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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4.66Christopher Newport University1.350.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica McJones | 18.9% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 2.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 12.8% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 15.5% | 3.4% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 16.3% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 2.9% |
| Lenox Butcher | 23.0% | 20.7% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 20.5% | 21.7% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| Anna Patterson | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 33.8% | 9.7% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 9.0% | 79.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.