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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.91+2.74vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.35+2.58vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.430.00vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.53vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.03-1.39vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35-2.91vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.55-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.58Christopher Newport University1.350.1%1st Place
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3.0University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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3.47U. S. Naval Academy2.140.2%1st Place
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3.61Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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3.09George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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6.5University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Groble | 14.9% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 3.7% |
| Anna Patterson | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 33.4% | 8.7% |
| Lenox Butcher | 21.6% | 23.2% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 17.2% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 12.7% | 1.9% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 14.8% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 3.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 22.8% | 19.2% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 79.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.