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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.94vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.14+1.39vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+0.08vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91-0.17vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.03-1.36vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.35-1.37vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.55-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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3.39U. S. Naval Academy2.140.2%1st Place
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3.08George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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3.83Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.64Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.63Christopher Newport University1.350.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Virginia-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenox Butcher | 24.7% | 22.9% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 1.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 17.1% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 1.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 21.7% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 13.7% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 17.1% | 3.6% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 13.7% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 3.5% |
| Anna Patterson | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 32.8% | 9.5% |
| Elizabeth Harrington | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 9.0% | 79.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.