Race 1A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sam Morrell 22.8% 20.6% 16.6% 12.9% 11.1% 7.4% 5.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Alex Fasolo 14.8% 14.8% 16.3% 14.4% 12.8% 12.1% 8.4% 5.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Matthew Schryver 8.3% 5.9% 9.3% 7.4% 11.7% 14.3% 16.1% 15.3% 9.0% 2.7%
Colin Brego 18.0% 18.7% 17.5% 16.8% 10.0% 9.8% 5.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Mott Blair 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 4.3% 4.2% 6.4% 8.6% 12.3% 31.9% 23.8%
Perham Black 9.7% 9.7% 10.1% 11.1% 14.5% 14.2% 11.4% 11.8% 6.0% 1.5%
Carter Brock 2.8% 2.8% 4.4% 5.0% 6.7% 8.7% 13.7% 22.7% 21.9% 11.3%
CJ Mckenna 11.5% 14.5% 11.9% 13.8% 14.6% 11.6% 11.2% 7.3% 3.0% 0.6%
Lolly Vasilion 8.7% 9.2% 9.9% 12.5% 11.6% 12.4% 16.3% 11.5% 5.9% 2.0%
Auguste Pizzano 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 1.8% 2.8% 3.1% 3.7% 9.0% 19.2% 57.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.