Race 2A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alex Fasolo 17.1% 15.7% 14.4% 12.8% 13.9% 10.2% 8.0% 5.0% 2.4% 0.5%
Perham Black 9.3% 9.4% 11.1% 12.6% 10.1% 13.3% 14.9% 11.9% 6.6% 0.8%
Matthew Schryver 8.0% 6.0% 9.3% 7.6% 12.5% 12.0% 17.9% 15.3% 8.8% 2.6%
CJ Mckenna 9.9% 12.9% 14.0% 13.9% 13.4% 13.1% 11.2% 8.2% 3.2% 0.2%
Mott Blair 2.2% 3.1% 3.5% 4.8% 4.2% 5.8% 7.5% 15.4% 29.4% 24.1%
Sam Morrell 22.5% 19.5% 16.2% 15.1% 11.1% 7.8% 5.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Lolly Vasilion 7.2% 9.1% 11.2% 12.7% 11.8% 16.1% 14.3% 9.7% 6.2% 1.7%
Colin Brego 19.6% 19.5% 15.6% 13.4% 13.7% 8.7% 5.4% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Carter Brock 3.5% 3.6% 3.8% 5.7% 6.9% 9.1% 11.2% 20.8% 24.1% 11.3%
Auguste Pizzano 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 1.4% 2.4% 3.9% 4.2% 8.5% 18.2% 58.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.