Race 3A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sam Morrell 25.1% 19.7% 15.6% 12.4% 10.7% 7.8% 4.6% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Colin Brego 19.4% 17.4% 17.1% 14.1% 12.6% 9.5% 5.0% 4.0% 0.7% 0.2%
Matthew Schryver 6.6% 7.5% 9.3% 8.1% 10.2% 14.6% 17.0% 15.5% 8.9% 2.3%
Lolly Vasilion 7.7% 8.6% 11.5% 12.9% 12.5% 14.1% 13.4% 12.2% 5.8% 1.3%
Alex Fasolo 15.3% 15.7% 15.2% 15.8% 13.3% 10.5% 8.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.2%
Perham Black 9.8% 9.9% 9.2% 13.1% 13.9% 12.7% 12.6% 12.0% 5.6% 1.2%
CJ Mckenna 9.8% 14.8% 12.1% 14.2% 13.1% 12.6% 12.8% 7.2% 2.6% 0.8%
Mott Blair 1.9% 2.2% 3.3% 3.5% 5.5% 5.2% 9.6% 15.3% 29.8% 23.7%
Carter Brock 3.3% 3.5% 5.7% 4.3% 5.5% 9.8% 12.0% 19.8% 24.0% 12.1%
Auguste Pizzano 1.1% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 2.7% 3.2% 5.0% 6.7% 19.9% 58.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.