Race 4A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
CJ Mckenna 13.7% 12.4% 12.9% 11.8% 12.8% 13.1% 11.7% 7.4% 3.7% 0.5%
Alex Fasolo 15.6% 13.4% 17.8% 13.5% 13.2% 11.9% 7.8% 4.6% 2.0% 0.2%
Sam Morrell 20.8% 19.7% 17.0% 14.2% 10.5% 9.2% 5.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Carter Brock 2.6% 3.2% 4.4% 5.6% 7.9% 8.8% 11.4% 21.2% 22.6% 12.3%
Colin Brego 18.2% 20.2% 16.5% 15.5% 10.8% 8.8% 5.6% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Perham Black 10.8% 10.2% 9.3% 11.5% 13.1% 12.5% 14.3% 12.3% 4.8% 1.2%
Matthew Schryver 5.3% 8.2% 9.4% 10.5% 11.7% 13.8% 16.0% 13.4% 9.0% 2.7%
Mott Blair 1.8% 2.2% 3.3% 4.1% 3.8% 6.4% 8.8% 15.8% 30.2% 23.6%
Lolly Vasilion 10.0% 10.2% 7.9% 11.6% 13.3% 12.5% 14.5% 12.2% 6.1% 1.7%
Auguste Pizzano 1.2% 0.3% 1.5% 1.7% 2.9% 3.0% 4.0% 7.8% 20.1% 57.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.