Race 5A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Colin Brego 22.5% 16.2% 16.1% 13.3% 12.0% 9.2% 5.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.4%
Alex Fasolo 14.4% 15.9% 16.1% 12.4% 12.9% 13.3% 8.3% 4.8% 1.7% 0.2%
Sam Morrell 22.0% 17.4% 17.5% 15.3% 11.4% 7.5% 5.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
CJ Mckenna 10.9% 13.3% 12.6% 13.8% 13.2% 13.9% 12.3% 6.2% 3.6% 0.2%
Mott Blair 2.3% 3.0% 3.3% 4.0% 4.7% 5.6% 7.9% 15.7% 28.0% 25.5%
Carter Brock 4.6% 3.8% 4.0% 5.0% 6.7% 8.2% 12.5% 20.6% 24.1% 10.5%
Lolly Vasilion 7.2% 9.5% 10.3% 11.3% 14.4% 14.5% 14.0% 11.9% 5.5% 1.4%
Matthew Schryver 6.5% 8.8% 8.5% 10.6% 11.8% 11.5% 16.0% 14.2% 10.2% 1.9%
Auguste Pizzano 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.8% 1.7% 2.4% 4.4% 8.4% 19.2% 58.5%
Perham Black 8.4% 11.0% 10.3% 12.5% 11.2% 13.9% 13.1% 12.2% 6.0% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.