Race 6A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sam Morrell 25.1% 19.2% 16.4% 12.8% 9.5% 8.2% 5.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Colin Brego 18.2% 19.3% 17.2% 12.7% 12.1% 9.9% 6.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Alex Fasolo 15.0% 14.6% 14.0% 14.6% 15.4% 11.6% 7.8% 5.4% 1.3% 0.3%
Matthew Schryver 5.8% 8.2% 10.1% 10.0% 10.5% 14.0% 16.6% 12.9% 9.8% 2.1%
CJ Mckenna 12.1% 11.8% 14.2% 12.2% 14.9% 13.8% 9.1% 8.0% 3.0% 0.9%
Perham Black 10.6% 9.3% 9.4% 13.8% 12.0% 11.5% 14.6% 12.0% 5.5% 1.3%
Lolly Vasilion 6.9% 10.5% 10.0% 12.1% 13.1% 13.7% 13.1% 12.4% 6.8% 1.4%
Mott Blair 2.1% 1.8% 3.9% 3.2% 4.5% 5.5% 10.6% 15.9% 28.3% 24.2%
Auguste Pizzano 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 2.7% 1.8% 2.7% 4.9% 8.1% 18.7% 58.3%
Carter Brock 3.1% 4.4% 4.0% 5.9% 6.2% 9.1% 11.5% 19.6% 25.0% 11.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.