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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.20+3.98vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.06+1.32vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.45+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.13+1.14vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.71-1.06vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.72+1.83vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.93-3.45vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.94-2.44vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-1.91vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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3.32Boston University3.060.2%1st Place
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4.63Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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3.94Tufts University2.710.2%1st Place
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7.83Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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3.55Boston College2.930.2%1st Place
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5.56University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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7.09Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perham Black | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Sam Morrell | 23.8% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 1.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 15.6% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Mott Blair | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 27.9% | 25.5% |
| Colin Brego | 17.7% | 20.7% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schryver | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
| Carter Brock | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 25.6% | 10.0% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.