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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.02+2.75vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.31+3.39vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.76+1.41vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.51+3.18vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.87-1.93vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.88-2.97vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.38-0.48vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound1.26-3.55vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia0.97-3.88vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound0.55-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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5.39University of Victoria1.310.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Victoria0.510.0%1st Place
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4.07Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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4.03Western Washington University1.880.2%1st Place
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7.52University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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6.12University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 20.0% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Evan Rankin | 9.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 5.2% |
| Christopher Fuller | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Phoebe Gilday | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 23.0% |
| Paul Foley | 15.0% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Erika Vranizan | 16.9% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Alex Dodd | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 28.1% |
| Mike Knape | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Neil Roberts | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 9.7% |
| John Elam | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.