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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+5.00vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+7.27vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79+9.21vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+5.83vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.49+4.64vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.83vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.60+2.17vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.58+5.87vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.42vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.78+0.85vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.73-4.18vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.20-1.06vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.31+4.58vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.73-5.48vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.32-3.79vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.28-6.02vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.15-10.67vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.00-2.30vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College1.95-7.02vs Predicted
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20Tufts University2.22-10.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Harvard University3.1812.2%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University2.685.4%1st Place
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12.21Cornell University1.793.0%1st Place
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9.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.2%1st Place
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9.64College of Charleston2.496.0%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.7%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Naval Academy2.605.9%1st Place
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13.87University of Pennsylvania1.581.7%1st Place
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10.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Rhode Island2.784.2%1st Place
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6.82Yale University2.739.8%1st Place
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10.94Boston College2.203.3%1st Place
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17.58University of Wisconsin0.310.5%1st Place
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8.52Brown University2.737.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Miami2.323.5%1st Place
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9.98Tulane University2.284.2%1st Place
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6.33Stanford University3.1510.8%1st Place
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15.7Connecticut College1.001.1%1st Place
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11.98Dartmouth College1.952.6%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University2.224.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Cole Woodworth | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 8.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Jack Egan | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 15.4% | 51.8% |
| Guthrie Braun | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Hurd | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 20.6% | 20.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.