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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Bryan Rust 20.0% 17.1% 16.2% 11.0% 11.6% 9.8% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0% 1.0%
Evan Rankin 9.5% 8.1% 11.2% 10.4% 9.2% 14.4% 11.9% 10.2% 9.9% 5.2%
Christopher Fuller 14.1% 13.2% 11.7% 13.5% 13.4% 12.9% 8.6% 7.5% 3.8% 1.3%
Phoebe Gilday 3.4% 3.7% 4.8% 7.2% 6.8% 8.9% 10.6% 11.9% 19.7% 23.0%
Paul Foley 15.0% 17.2% 13.9% 13.4% 12.9% 9.6% 9.1% 4.9% 2.7% 1.3%
Erika Vranizan 16.9% 15.5% 14.8% 13.9% 11.2% 9.3% 8.9% 5.8% 2.6% 1.1%
Alex Dodd 2.8% 2.9% 4.6% 5.5% 5.5% 7.4% 9.8% 14.5% 18.9% 28.1%
Mike Knape 7.7% 10.5% 10.1% 8.9% 12.2% 10.6% 14.4% 11.4% 8.5% 5.7%
Neil Roberts 6.7% 6.8% 7.5% 9.0% 10.5% 9.2% 10.4% 16.5% 13.7% 9.7%
John Elam 3.9% 5.0% 5.2% 7.2% 6.7% 7.9% 9.5% 12.8% 18.2% 23.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.