Race 8A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sam Morrell 22.1% 21.5% 15.3% 14.9% 9.3% 7.5% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.4%
Lolly Vasilion 9.6% 6.2% 11.6% 11.8% 13.6% 13.4% 13.0% 13.1% 6.4% 1.3%
CJ Mckenna 11.6% 12.9% 10.7% 13.5% 14.7% 13.4% 11.4% 8.3% 3.1% 0.4%
Alex Fasolo 14.3% 15.4% 16.6% 15.4% 13.2% 10.7% 8.2% 4.3% 1.7% 0.2%
Perham Black 11.3% 8.3% 10.6% 11.2% 13.4% 14.6% 13.1% 10.5% 6.0% 1.0%
Mott Blair 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% 3.6% 4.2% 6.1% 8.7% 14.8% 30.8% 23.4%
Auguste Pizzano 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 1.3% 2.9% 5.1% 8.8% 19.2% 58.5%
Matthew Schryver 6.2% 8.5% 10.7% 10.3% 9.7% 13.7% 15.7% 13.6% 9.9% 1.7%
Colin Brego 18.3% 19.4% 16.3% 13.1% 14.3% 8.6% 5.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Carter Brock 3.0% 4.0% 4.4% 4.8% 6.3% 9.1% 13.1% 21.4% 21.0% 12.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.