← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.20+3.99vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.94+3.63vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.06+0.40vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.18+3.12vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.93-1.47vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.13-0.90vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.71-3.04vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.45-3.51vs Predicted
-
9Maine Maritime Academy0.72-1.12vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.99Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
-
5.63University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
-
3.4Boston University3.060.2%1st Place
-
7.12Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
-
3.53Boston College2.930.2%1st Place
-
5.1University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
-
3.96Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
-
4.49Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.88Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perham Black | 8.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 2.0% |
| Sam Morrell | 21.6% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Carter Brock | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 21.2% | 22.7% | 12.2% |
| Colin Brego | 19.2% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 13.6% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 11.9% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Mott Blair | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 30.8% | 23.5% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 8.8% | 17.6% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.