Race 10A

pen-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
CJ Mckenna 12.4% 13.8% 13.6% 11.5% 12.7% 11.4% 11.8% 8.4% 3.5% 0.9%
Alex Fasolo 15.6% 14.6% 15.2% 14.5% 12.5% 12.1% 8.7% 4.9% 1.6% 0.3%
Perham Black 9.7% 9.3% 9.7% 10.3% 12.6% 15.6% 14.1% 11.5% 5.7% 1.5%
Colin Brego 18.5% 19.0% 14.4% 16.5% 13.5% 8.2% 6.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Carter Brock 4.0% 4.4% 4.9% 5.7% 6.3% 7.7% 11.4% 20.6% 24.8% 10.2%
Sam Morrell 23.4% 17.6% 17.8% 14.2% 12.0% 7.9% 4.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Lolly Vasilion 6.8% 9.8% 10.7% 12.0% 13.2% 14.5% 15.3% 10.5% 5.5% 1.7%
Matthew Schryver 6.5% 8.4% 10.2% 9.9% 10.2% 13.0% 16.7% 14.1% 8.4% 2.6%
Mott Blair 1.9% 2.0% 2.9% 3.6% 4.4% 6.4% 7.7% 16.7% 30.5% 23.9%
Auguste Pizzano 1.2% 1.1% 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 3.2% 3.5% 8.3% 18.9% 58.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.