Race 2A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jack Carminati 5.0% 6.0% 8.4% 10.9% 11.3% 12.3% 13.2% 12.5% 11.0% 5.8% 2.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Ava Esquier 18.2% 17.3% 17.1% 15.2% 14.0% 7.4% 5.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph LaForgia 36.1% 22.8% 16.5% 12.4% 6.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Gallagher 8.8% 12.1% 13.9% 14.6% 13.6% 12.3% 11.1% 6.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Gillette 5.4% 8.2% 8.9% 11.4% 12.6% 15.0% 12.1% 12.8% 8.2% 3.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 14.5% 16.4% 16.1% 15.0% 12.6% 12.0% 6.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 3.5% 6.5% 7.6% 7.1% 9.7% 11.0% 14.2% 14.9% 13.7% 8.0% 3.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Eric Heilshorn 3.1% 4.2% 4.7% 5.5% 7.2% 8.5% 12.4% 14.3% 16.8% 13.1% 6.9% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Haley Clemson 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 1.9% 2.8% 3.6% 4.7% 9.5% 12.7% 26.1% 19.5% 9.2% 4.0% 0.8%
Townsend Morey 2.4% 3.6% 4.1% 4.1% 7.3% 9.2% 13.0% 13.9% 18.0% 13.6% 7.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Sophia Rosahl 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% 1.9% 2.3% 3.9% 12.1% 19.0% 26.5% 31.6%
Morgan Kelly 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 5.6% 10.4% 23.1% 25.3% 17.8% 7.9%
Julia Baginski 0.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 3.1% 8.1% 14.5% 22.9% 27.3% 17.4%
Alexa Carles 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 4.6% 8.0% 17.2% 23.0% 42.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.