Race 6A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ava Esquier 17.2% 21.5% 18.0% 13.9% 11.8% 9.8% 4.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph LaForgia 37.2% 25.7% 15.9% 12.5% 5.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Townsend Morey 3.2% 4.2% 6.0% 6.1% 6.7% 10.1% 14.2% 15.5% 15.1% 10.1% 6.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1%
William Gallagher 9.8% 12.8% 14.4% 15.8% 15.5% 11.4% 10.5% 6.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 5.4% 4.8% 9.1% 10.3% 12.1% 17.2% 12.7% 12.6% 8.8% 4.6% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Haley Clemson 0.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.9% 3.3% 4.4% 7.1% 10.0% 15.0% 17.3% 17.1% 13.2% 4.0% 1.1%
Jameson Parker 2.4% 2.4% 3.8% 4.5% 5.6% 8.0% 9.6% 11.9% 17.3% 16.8% 11.2% 5.2% 1.0% 0.3%
Connor Mraz 17.2% 15.6% 17.5% 16.9% 14.1% 7.6% 6.8% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
River Dixon 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 3.2% 5.9% 11.1% 20.5% 25.2% 26.5%
Nick Chisari 3.1% 5.6% 6.3% 8.5% 12.6% 13.0% 14.7% 13.4% 11.6% 7.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Eric Heilshorn 2.7% 4.2% 4.3% 5.8% 9.3% 11.1% 12.6% 14.6% 15.2% 12.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Morgan Kelly 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 1.7% 3.6% 5.1% 10.5% 20.3% 21.2% 18.6% 12.5%
Julia Baginski 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 1.9% 3.3% 2.3% 7.5% 12.2% 18.9% 26.5% 23.9%
Sophia Rosahl 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 2.9% 2.2% 5.9% 10.8% 15.9% 23.3% 35.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.