Race 7A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Joseph LaForgia 34.2% 24.8% 16.2% 11.1% 7.2% 3.2% 2.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 14.9% 18.3% 16.4% 16.7% 13.3% 9.3% 5.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ava Esquier 16.6% 17.9% 18.4% 13.9% 10.7% 11.1% 6.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Heilshorn 1.9% 3.6% 4.7% 6.1% 7.3% 8.5% 12.2% 13.4% 19.1% 13.6% 6.4% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
William Gallagher 8.1% 11.0% 14.3% 13.0% 15.8% 12.4% 11.3% 7.4% 4.3% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 4.9% 2.7% 5.4% 7.9% 9.9% 11.6% 13.6% 13.3% 14.4% 10.2% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Max Gillette 8.1% 9.4% 9.7% 11.7% 13.1% 12.8% 13.3% 10.4% 6.6% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 5.9% 6.2% 8.6% 8.4% 10.4% 14.3% 12.5% 11.7% 11.8% 6.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Townsend Morey 3.2% 3.4% 3.1% 5.3% 6.4% 8.4% 11.4% 17.3% 16.9% 15.3% 6.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.4%
Julia Baginski 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 1.0% 0.6% 1.0% 1.5% 2.1% 1.9% 5.0% 13.5% 22.1% 24.9% 25.7%
Morgan Kelly 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 2.1% 2.7% 5.6% 8.7% 20.2% 23.5% 21.3% 11.1%
River Dixon 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 1.6% 1.4% 2.0% 2.1% 5.7% 14.4% 21.2% 23.6% 26.4%
Sophia Rosahl 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 2.2% 2.1% 5.7% 9.7% 16.4% 25.0% 35.7%
Haley Clemson 0.9% 1.3% 1.9% 3.2% 2.9% 4.1% 5.5% 10.8% 12.1% 21.9% 20.5% 10.5% 3.7% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.