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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.88+3.05vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.76+2.38vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.87+1.17vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.02-0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound1.26+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.97+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria1.31-1.63vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.51-0.89vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound0.55-2.93vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.38-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Western Washington University1.880.2%1st Place
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4.38University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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4.17Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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3.77Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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5.49University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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6.11University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Victoria1.310.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Victoria0.510.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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7.47University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Vranizan | 17.8% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Fuller | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Paul Foley | 15.4% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Bryan Rust | 18.8% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Mike Knape | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.7% |
| Neil Roberts | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.2% |
| Evan Rankin | 7.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Phoebe Gilday | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 22.1% |
| John Elam | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 22.4% |
| Alex Dodd | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.