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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+9.57vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+8.01vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.58+10.89vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49+5.76vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.15+1.41vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.79+6.23vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.68+1.83vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.91vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.73-3.19vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.95+0.76vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.78-1.48vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.20-2.08vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.32-2.65vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.28-5.08vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.18-10.05vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.73-8.53vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.00-2.35vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy2.60-9.56vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin0.31-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.0%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University2.223.9%1st Place
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13.89University of Pennsylvania1.581.8%1st Place
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9.76College of Charleston2.494.3%1st Place
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6.41Stanford University3.1511.2%1st Place
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12.23Cornell University1.793.3%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University2.685.8%1st Place
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10.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.0%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.484.7%1st Place
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6.81Yale University2.739.7%1st Place
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11.76Dartmouth College1.953.5%1st Place
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10.52University of Rhode Island2.784.3%1st Place
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10.92Boston College2.203.9%1st Place
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11.35University of Miami2.323.1%1st Place
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9.92Tulane University2.285.0%1st Place
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5.95Harvard University3.1812.6%1st Place
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8.47Brown University2.736.9%1st Place
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15.65Connecticut College1.001.1%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Naval Academy2.605.4%1st Place
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17.54University of Wisconsin0.310.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Cole Woodworth | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 8.7% |
| Noah Zittrer | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Jack Egan | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| William Hurd | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 20.3% | 20.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 14.1% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.