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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Erika Vranizan 17.8% 15.0% 14.8% 12.9% 10.5% 10.2% 9.2% 5.0% 3.0% 1.6%
Christopher Fuller 13.4% 14.5% 13.9% 14.0% 10.2% 11.6% 9.1% 7.3% 4.5% 1.5%
Paul Foley 15.4% 14.7% 13.5% 13.0% 13.7% 11.2% 8.4% 6.3% 3.0% 0.8%
Bryan Rust 18.8% 16.3% 16.2% 14.0% 11.7% 9.4% 5.9% 5.2% 2.0% 0.5%
Mike Knape 9.6% 7.8% 9.3% 10.7% 11.2% 10.7% 13.5% 12.0% 9.5% 5.7%
Neil Roberts 7.1% 7.4% 7.1% 8.1% 9.0% 11.1% 13.2% 12.5% 13.3% 11.2%
Evan Rankin 7.1% 10.8% 10.3% 10.9% 11.3% 12.3% 13.6% 9.5% 9.5% 4.7%
Phoebe Gilday 3.5% 5.1% 4.9% 6.4% 6.7% 8.1% 9.7% 15.5% 18.0% 22.1%
John Elam 4.3% 4.4% 5.0% 5.2% 8.5% 9.1% 9.2% 14.1% 17.8% 22.4%
Alex Dodd 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 4.8% 7.2% 6.3% 8.2% 12.6% 19.4% 29.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.