Race 8A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ava Esquier 15.8% 19.1% 18.4% 13.4% 12.8% 9.8% 4.6% 3.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph LaForgia 34.5% 25.5% 18.4% 9.8% 6.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 14.4% 16.0% 17.5% 16.5% 13.0% 11.5% 6.2% 2.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Gallagher 9.5% 11.4% 13.7% 14.3% 12.7% 14.4% 12.0% 6.1% 3.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sophia Rosahl 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.6% 5.1% 10.4% 16.3% 23.6% 37.6%
Eric Heilshorn 2.5% 3.3% 3.7% 5.0% 7.5% 9.4% 10.1% 14.9% 17.1% 13.0% 9.6% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Max Gillette 8.5% 8.5% 8.8% 13.4% 12.8% 12.4% 13.0% 11.2% 6.6% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Townsend Morey 3.6% 4.1% 3.9% 5.6% 7.4% 8.9% 12.0% 12.6% 17.5% 12.6% 8.3% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 5.7% 4.6% 6.9% 10.7% 10.3% 12.0% 15.7% 12.6% 12.7% 5.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 3.6% 4.6% 5.8% 6.5% 9.8% 12.4% 12.7% 15.7% 14.6% 8.4% 3.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
River Dixon 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 2.3% 2.5% 7.0% 11.7% 19.9% 26.0% 26.7%
Haley Clemson 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 2.8% 3.9% 3.2% 5.6% 9.3% 12.7% 23.1% 18.8% 10.3% 5.3% 1.5%
Julia Baginski 0.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 1.8% 2.2% 2.3% 7.9% 13.2% 20.3% 24.2% 24.8%
Morgan Kelly 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 1.5% 1.1% 3.0% 4.2% 4.6% 10.4% 20.1% 24.3% 19.6% 9.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.