Race 9A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ava Esquier 17.4% 20.0% 16.0% 12.3% 13.4% 9.8% 5.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph LaForgia 35.9% 24.9% 15.9% 11.3% 7.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 4.1% 5.1% 6.3% 8.8% 7.8% 8.9% 15.0% 16.6% 13.3% 9.0% 3.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Max Gillette 5.9% 7.2% 10.2% 12.2% 13.8% 14.0% 13.4% 9.5% 8.2% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 13.0% 16.4% 18.3% 15.9% 12.7% 9.6% 7.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 4.5% 5.8% 7.2% 8.3% 10.9% 13.6% 14.9% 12.2% 11.4% 7.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Townsend Morey 3.1% 3.2% 6.0% 7.2% 7.2% 9.8% 10.5% 14.6% 14.6% 14.3% 7.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
William Gallagher 11.1% 10.9% 13.4% 13.3% 13.6% 12.5% 10.8% 7.7% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sophia Rosahl 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 4.6% 9.9% 16.4% 25.8% 36.6%
Morgan Kelly 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 2.0% 2.3% 4.4% 11.2% 20.2% 21.0% 21.9% 12.2%
Eric Heilshorn 2.7% 3.3% 3.5% 5.3% 7.3% 10.2% 11.0% 13.5% 19.0% 14.0% 7.1% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Julia Baginski 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 3.0% 5.1% 12.8% 24.5% 22.1% 25.9%
Haley Clemson 1.4% 1.7% 1.5% 2.6% 3.7% 4.3% 4.6% 8.9% 13.2% 21.1% 19.8% 11.7% 4.3% 1.2%
River Dixon 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.9% 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 2.0% 3.4% 6.8% 15.2% 19.7% 24.3% 24.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.