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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.03+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.11+0.68vs Predicted
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3Villanova University0.91+1.72vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.09-1.20vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.24+4.53vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.78-0.92vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-1.16+2.11vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-0.64vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-1.47+0.97vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.71-1.68vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-1.07-1.85vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-3.41+1.15vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-0.82-4.57vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College-2.48-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Pennsylvania2.030.2%1st Place
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2.68University of Pennsylvania2.110.3%1st Place
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4.72Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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2.8University of Pennsylvania2.090.2%1st Place
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9.53Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
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5.08U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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9.11Webb Institute-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.36Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.97Monmouth University-1.470.0%1st Place
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8.32Webb Institute-0.710.0%1st Place
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9.15Drexel University-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.15Rutgers University-3.410.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.85Ocean County College-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Sharpless | 24.6% | 24.0% | 20.4% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 26.6% | 24.5% | 23.2% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Gavula | 24.7% | 23.7% | 20.0% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Flynn | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 2.2% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Alex Wiggins | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Bronson Gallagher | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 19.6% | 12.7% | 3.5% |
| Alexander Resio | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Stephen Young | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Cater | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 6.8% | 15.9% | 67.1% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Robert Chapman | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 35.3% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.