Race 3B

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Samuel Gavula 27.5% 23.0% 21.2% 13.7% 7.9% 4.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Sharpless 25.1% 25.0% 18.3% 16.3% 9.0% 3.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carlyn Blauvelt 7.3% 6.9% 12.6% 14.3% 18.9% 17.3% 9.5% 8.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 25.3% 23.9% 20.8% 14.6% 9.6% 4.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.4% 9.9% 13.0% 17.0% 18.1% 14.2% 11.8% 5.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Chapman 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 2.9% 2.8% 3.7% 4.7% 7.7% 14.2% 35.3% 24.6%
Stephen Young 1.3% 1.1% 1.6% 3.1% 5.6% 8.5% 8.1% 11.0% 11.7% 15.3% 13.6% 11.4% 5.8% 1.9%
Alexander Resio 1.6% 1.9% 3.1% 4.9% 5.9% 8.9% 12.6% 12.7% 12.1% 12.6% 10.5% 8.0% 4.4% 0.8%
Alex Wiggins 2.4% 2.7% 2.7% 5.5% 9.0% 13.0% 15.8% 14.2% 12.9% 9.8% 6.8% 3.7% 1.3% 0.2%
Pearce Bragaw 1.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.7% 4.8% 8.3% 11.9% 13.9% 13.4% 12.8% 12.6% 9.6% 4.1% 0.6%
Bronson Gallagher 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 1.9% 4.5% 5.8% 8.7% 10.2% 10.8% 17.5% 18.2% 13.0% 4.6%
Charlie Flynn 0.5% 1.3% 1.0% 2.6% 4.3% 5.2% 8.0% 8.9% 13.4% 15.2% 13.0% 13.8% 10.8% 2.0%
Ryan Flanagan 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 2.7% 3.3% 5.4% 9.0% 11.5% 13.6% 13.3% 13.6% 13.8% 7.7% 1.9%
Andrew Cater 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.9% 2.7% 4.0% 7.1% 17.4% 63.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.