Race 4B

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christopher Sharpless 24.7% 23.8% 20.6% 14.8% 8.2% 5.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 27.9% 24.4% 19.6% 14.9% 7.9% 3.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 8.0% 8.6% 13.1% 14.9% 19.0% 16.5% 10.2% 5.8% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Gavula 25.0% 24.4% 19.3% 15.7% 10.4% 3.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carlyn Blauvelt 4.9% 7.5% 11.4% 15.1% 19.2% 15.9% 12.8% 6.5% 3.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Bronson Gallagher 0.3% 0.5% 1.3% 2.5% 2.1% 4.7% 6.4% 7.7% 10.2% 11.4% 15.4% 18.3% 13.9% 5.3%
Alex Wiggins 2.3% 3.3% 4.6% 6.7% 10.3% 12.2% 14.7% 13.4% 11.2% 11.1% 5.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
Stephen Young 1.3% 1.1% 1.6% 3.6% 4.8% 6.6% 9.2% 11.9% 12.1% 13.1% 11.3% 12.4% 9.2% 1.8%
Ryan Flanagan 0.8% 1.3% 2.6% 1.9% 3.3% 5.2% 7.3% 10.8% 14.2% 13.9% 15.1% 13.9% 7.1% 2.6%
Alexander Resio 1.7% 1.5% 2.7% 3.2% 5.2% 9.0% 12.9% 13.2% 15.2% 13.3% 10.6% 7.8% 2.9% 0.8%
Charlie Flynn 0.7% 1.6% 0.8% 2.3% 2.7% 6.3% 8.3% 9.6% 11.9% 12.9% 16.5% 13.9% 10.1% 2.4%
Robert Chapman 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 2.2% 2.4% 3.2% 4.0% 5.0% 9.3% 14.5% 35.7% 21.3%
Pearce Bragaw 2.1% 1.4% 2.0% 3.7% 5.2% 8.9% 10.7% 15.6% 12.7% 12.9% 11.1% 9.0% 3.6% 1.1%
Andrew Cater 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 2.3% 2.9% 4.1% 6.5% 16.5% 64.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.