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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.03+1.88vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.91+2.65vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.11-0.27vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.09-1.18vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.71+3.26vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.07+3.18vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+0.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.78-2.98vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College-2.48+2.96vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-1.16-0.63vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-1.24-1.49vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-0.82-3.44vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-3.41+0.05vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-1.47-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88University of Pennsylvania2.030.2%1st Place
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4.65Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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2.73University of Pennsylvania2.110.3%1st Place
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2.82University of Pennsylvania2.090.3%1st Place
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8.26Webb Institute-0.710.0%1st Place
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9.18Drexel University-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.13Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.02U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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11.96Ocean County College-2.480.0%1st Place
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9.37Webb Institute-1.160.0%1st Place
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9.51Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
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13.05Rutgers University-3.410.0%1st Place
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9.88Monmouth University-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Sharpless | 24.2% | 25.0% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 27.2% | 21.6% | 22.6% | 14.9% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 25.8% | 23.6% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Resio | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Stephen Young | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 1.3% |
| Alex Wiggins | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chapman | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 13.9% | 37.4% | 22.8% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Charlie Flynn | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 3.0% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Cater | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 16.6% | 64.8% |
| Bronson Gallagher | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 12.1% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.