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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.03+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.11+0.70vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.09-0.23vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+3.35vs Predicted
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5Villanova University0.91-0.14vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-0.71+2.33vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.78-2.15vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-1.47+1.89vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.24+0.50vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College-2.48+1.96vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-1.07-1.86vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-1.16-2.71vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-0.82-4.59vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-3.41-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86University of Pennsylvania2.030.2%1st Place
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2.7University of Pennsylvania2.110.3%1st Place
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2.77University of Pennsylvania2.090.3%1st Place
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7.35Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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4.86Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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8.33Webb Institute-0.710.0%1st Place
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4.85U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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9.89Monmouth University-1.470.0%1st Place
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9.5Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
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11.96Ocean County College-2.480.0%1st Place
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9.14Drexel University-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.29Webb Institute-1.160.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
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13.09Rutgers University-3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Sharpless | 23.5% | 25.3% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 27.2% | 23.2% | 22.4% | 14.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 26.5% | 22.8% | 20.1% | 16.5% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Owen Ward | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Resio | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bronson Gallagher | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 4.5% |
| Charlie Flynn | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 2.3% |
| Robert Chapman | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 33.2% | 24.4% |
| Stephen Young | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Cater | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.