Race 7B

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christopher Sharpless 23.9% 24.3% 18.2% 14.1% 11.1% 5.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Gavula 25.8% 22.7% 22.5% 15.1% 8.0% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 26.1% 22.8% 19.2% 15.5% 9.6% 5.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carlyn Blauvelt 5.5% 8.5% 9.9% 15.0% 17.1% 16.8% 12.2% 8.3% 3.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Wiggins 2.0% 2.1% 4.1% 4.9% 8.6% 10.1% 14.2% 15.1% 14.8% 10.6% 7.9% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Connor Larson 1.8% 3.5% 3.2% 6.3% 8.3% 13.4% 14.1% 15.5% 13.1% 10.3% 7.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Owen Ward 8.8% 9.1% 11.9% 15.4% 17.1% 15.8% 11.4% 5.6% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Abigail Proko 2.1% 2.5% 4.7% 4.8% 7.0% 10.1% 13.4% 14.3% 13.8% 12.3% 8.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3%
Robert Cathell 0.4% 0.1% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 2.1% 1.9% 3.4% 5.3% 7.3% 13.1% 24.2% 25.7% 13.2%
Bronson Gallagher 0.9% 0.7% 1.5% 1.4% 2.3% 2.3% 5.7% 8.0% 11.6% 14.6% 18.2% 17.6% 11.8% 3.4%
Alexander Resio 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 3.2% 5.3% 8.1% 11.9% 12.3% 14.5% 16.5% 12.5% 6.9% 2.9% 0.5%
Ryan Flanagan 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 2.5% 3.5% 4.6% 7.9% 11.6% 13.5% 15.0% 16.0% 12.9% 7.9% 1.6%
Robert Chapman 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 1.6% 2.3% 2.9% 4.3% 7.7% 10.8% 17.4% 30.0% 20.7%
Andrew Cater 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 4.6% 9.1% 18.8% 60.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.