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📊 Prediction Accuracy
92.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.09+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.03+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.11-0.22vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.78+1.14vs Predicted
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5Villanova University0.91-0.05vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.42+1.86vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.18+0.02vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-1.16+1.26vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-1.43vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College-2.48+1.90vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.71-2.57vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-1.47-1.98vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-2.21-1.64vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-3.41-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82University of Pennsylvania2.090.3%1st Place
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2.88University of Pennsylvania2.030.2%1st Place
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2.78University of Pennsylvania2.110.3%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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4.95Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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7.86Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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7.02Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.26Webb Institute-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.57Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.9Ocean County College-2.480.0%1st Place
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8.43Webb Institute-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.02Monmouth University-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Delaware-2.210.0%1st Place
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13.02Rutgers University-3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Gavula | 25.1% | 25.1% | 20.2% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 24.2% | 22.5% | 21.3% | 16.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 28.7% | 21.2% | 19.0% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 5.9% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 1.5% |
| Alex Wiggins | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Chapman | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 12.1% | 19.3% | 29.6% | 22.1% |
| Alexander Resio | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Bronson Gallagher | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 3.9% |
| Robert Cathell | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 23.2% | 25.9% | 12.5% |
| Andrew Cater | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 18.7% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.