← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+8.79vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania1.58+11.87vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.18+3.08vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.68+5.02vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.49+4.69vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.15+0.43vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.84vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.22+1.77vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.20+1.69vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.73-3.04vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.78-0.22vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.45vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami2.32-1.66vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.73-5.26vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy2.60-5.75vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin0.31+1.70vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University1.79-4.90vs Predicted
-
18Tulane University2.28-7.98vs Predicted
-
19Dartmouth College1.95-7.27vs Predicted
-
20Connecticut College1.00-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.3%1st Place
-
13.87University of Pennsylvania1.581.9%1st Place
-
6.08Harvard University3.1811.7%1st Place
-
9.02Roger Williams University2.685.7%1st Place
-
9.69College of Charleston2.495.2%1st Place
-
6.43Stanford University3.1510.5%1st Place
-
9.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.574.9%1st Place
-
9.77Tufts University2.225.1%1st Place
-
10.69Boston College2.204.0%1st Place
-
6.96Yale University2.739.3%1st Place
-
10.78University of Rhode Island2.784.1%1st Place
-
10.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.3%1st Place
-
11.34University of Miami2.324.0%1st Place
-
8.74Brown University2.736.0%1st Place
-
9.25U. S. Naval Academy2.604.8%1st Place
-
17.7University of Wisconsin0.310.5%1st Place
-
12.1Cornell University1.792.6%1st Place
-
10.02Tulane University2.285.3%1st Place
-
11.73Dartmouth College1.953.2%1st Place
-
15.64Connecticut College1.001.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 8.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Jack Egan | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Guthrie Braun | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 53.2% |
| Sophia Devling | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| William Hurd | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 21.2% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.