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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.76+3.29vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.31+3.44vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.88+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.51+3.20vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.02-1.24vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.87-1.93vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound1.26-1.51vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia0.97-2.87vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound0.55-2.94vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia0.38-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29University of Washington1.760.2%1st Place
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5.44University of Victoria1.310.1%1st Place
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4.16Western Washington University1.880.2%1st Place
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7.2University of Victoria0.510.0%1st Place
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3.76Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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4.07Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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5.49University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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6.13University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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7.41University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fuller | 16.0% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Evan Rankin | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 5.6% |
| Erika Vranizan | 16.0% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Phoebe Gilday | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 23.5% |
| Bryan Rust | 17.8% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Paul Foley | 17.1% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Mike Knape | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 4.4% |
| Neil Roberts | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 10.5% |
| John Elam | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 21.7% |
| Alex Dodd | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.