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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christopher Fuller 16.0% 14.3% 14.5% 9.5% 12.2% 11.6% 9.7% 6.8% 4.0% 1.4%
Evan Rankin 8.8% 8.5% 11.1% 10.8% 9.3% 13.9% 10.7% 11.0% 10.3% 5.6%
Erika Vranizan 16.0% 13.9% 13.2% 13.8% 13.9% 12.1% 6.7% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0%
Phoebe Gilday 3.7% 3.5% 4.9% 6.9% 6.4% 8.5% 10.5% 13.4% 18.7% 23.5%
Bryan Rust 17.8% 18.9% 14.3% 14.8% 11.3% 8.2% 8.0% 4.2% 1.8% 0.7%
Paul Foley 17.1% 15.1% 14.3% 13.2% 12.9% 8.8% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 1.7%
Mike Knape 7.0% 9.8% 9.8% 10.7% 11.8% 11.0% 13.6% 11.5% 10.4% 4.4%
Neil Roberts 5.8% 7.4% 9.1% 7.9% 8.0% 10.7% 13.7% 13.5% 13.4% 10.5%
John Elam 4.3% 5.0% 4.2% 6.3% 7.7% 7.9% 9.9% 15.2% 17.8% 21.7%
Alex Dodd 3.5% 3.6% 4.6% 6.1% 6.5% 7.3% 8.7% 12.1% 18.1% 29.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.