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📊 Prediction Accuracy
92.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.03+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.09+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.11-0.20vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+3.53vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.78+0.25vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.91-1.07vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.42+0.50vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.18-0.83vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute-1.16+0.42vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.71-1.58vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-1.47-0.95vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College-2.48-0.14vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-2.21-1.66vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-3.41-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92University of Pennsylvania2.030.2%1st Place
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2.78University of Pennsylvania2.090.3%1st Place
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2.8University of Pennsylvania2.110.3%1st Place
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7.53Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.25U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
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4.93Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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7.5Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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7.17Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.42Webb Institute-1.160.0%1st Place
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8.42Webb Institute-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.05Monmouth University-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.86Ocean County College-2.480.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Delaware-2.210.0%1st Place
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13.03Rutgers University-3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Sharpless | 22.8% | 26.3% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 25.4% | 24.2% | 21.2% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 27.0% | 22.6% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Connor Larson | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Alexander Resio | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Bronson Gallagher | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 11.8% | 3.9% |
| Robert Chapman | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 31.7% | 20.0% |
| Robert Cathell | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 22.9% | 25.7% | 13.0% |
| Andrew Cater | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 9.1% | 19.2% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.