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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.62+3.97vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+5.71vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.89+4.41vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.21-0.35vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.69+2.88vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+0.82vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.18-0.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.49-2.55vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.33+0.52vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.59+1.70vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-4.86vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.37+0.41vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.59-1.30vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America-0.34+0.18vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.77-3.69vs Predicted
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16American University-1.27-0.23vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland1.00-6.50vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.80-6.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.71St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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7.41Christopher Newport University1.890.1%1st Place
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3.65George Washington University3.210.2%1st Place
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7.88SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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6.46Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.45U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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9.52Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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11.7Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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12.41William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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11.7Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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14.18Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
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11.31Hampton University0.770.0%1st Place
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15.77American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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11.12Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 14.4% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marshall McCraw | 21.7% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Benson | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wagner | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 29.9% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Dario Abou Rjeili | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 15.9% | 61.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.