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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.62+4.09vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+3.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+3.65vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59+7.60vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.21-1.47vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.69+2.25vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.89+0.45vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.40vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.33+0.50vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.49-4.54vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.37+1.46vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.59-0.40vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.18-6.56vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.77-2.73vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland1.00-4.40vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.80-4.96vs Predicted
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17Catholic University of America-0.34-2.77vs Predicted
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18American University-1.27-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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11.6Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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3.53George Washington University3.210.2%1st Place
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8.25SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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7.45Christopher Newport University1.890.1%1st Place
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7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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9.5Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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12.46William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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11.6Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.44Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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11.27Hampton University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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11.04Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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14.23Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
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15.88American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Marshall McCraw | 23.2% | 20.7% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gray Benson | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dario Abou Rjeili | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wagner | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 30.9% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 14.4% | 63.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.