← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.62+4.03vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University2.18+4.41vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.49+2.50vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University3.21-0.30vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.33+4.19vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University0.77+5.33vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland1.00+3.48vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.42vs Predicted
-
9Virginia Tech0.59+2.86vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-4.05vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University1.89-3.47vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College1.69-3.95vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-6.22vs Predicted
-
14William and Mary0.37-1.49vs Predicted
-
15Virginia Tech0.59-3.14vs Predicted
-
16Washington College0.80-4.94vs Predicted
-
17Catholic University of America-0.34-2.81vs Predicted
-
18American University-1.27-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.03Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
-
6.41Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
-
5.5U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
-
3.7George Washington University3.210.2%1st Place
-
9.19Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
-
11.33Hampton University0.770.0%1st Place
-
10.48University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
-
7.58St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
-
11.86Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
-
5.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
7.53Christopher Newport University1.890.1%1st Place
-
8.05SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
-
6.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
-
12.51William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
-
11.86Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
-
11.06Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
-
14.19Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
-
15.85American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Benson | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marshall McCraw | 22.2% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Dario Abou Rjeili | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wagner | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 30.1% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 14.9% | 63.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.