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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+5.34vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.21+1.46vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.18+3.32vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+3.61vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.69+2.77vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59+5.68vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.62-1.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.49-2.65vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.37+3.38vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-4.22vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.11-1.05vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.33-2.87vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.80-2.04vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.59-2.32vs Predicted
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15American University-1.27+0.73vs Predicted
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16Catholic University of America-0.38-1.88vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.77-5.94vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland1.00-7.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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3.46George Washington University3.210.2%1st Place
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6.32Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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7.77SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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11.68Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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5.06Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.35U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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12.38William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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5.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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9.95Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
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9.13Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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10.96Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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11.68Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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15.73American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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14.12Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.06Hampton University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Lawlor | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marshall McCraw | 23.0% | 20.2% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Edward Cook | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Benson | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 16.0% | 62.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 27.9% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Dario Abou Rjeili | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.