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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+5.34vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.21+1.48vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.62+1.99vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.97vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.18+1.20vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.69+2.05vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.33+2.13vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.80+2.68vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.49-4.70vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.11-1.01vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.59-0.45vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.77-1.89vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.59-2.45vs Predicted
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15William and Mary0.37-2.68vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland1.00-5.75vs Predicted
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17American University-1.27-1.20vs Predicted
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18Catholic University of America-0.38-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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3.48George Washington University3.210.2%1st Place
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4.99Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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6.2Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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8.05SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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9.13Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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10.68Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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5.3U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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9.99Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
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11.55Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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11.11Hampton University0.770.0%1st Place
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11.55Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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12.32William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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15.8American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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14.19Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Lawlor | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marshall McCraw | 22.9% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Cook | 11.7% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Benson | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Dario Abou Rjeili | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 15.2% | 61.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 28.8% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.