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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+5.26vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.39+3.56vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+7.51vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.07vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.31+0.70vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.93-1.68vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.93-0.01vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+1.19vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.39-0.17vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.80-5.47vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.95vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.18+0.09vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.68-2.14vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.47-2.51vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech0.47-3.51vs Predicted
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16American University-0.98-1.55vs Predicted
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17Catholic University of America-0.35-3.60vs Predicted
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18Hampton University-3.56-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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5.56George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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3.93SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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5.7Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.32Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
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6.99Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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8.83Old Dominion University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.53U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.05St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Maryland0.180.0%1st Place
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10.86William and Mary0.680.0%1st Place
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11.49Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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11.49Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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14.45American University-0.980.0%1st Place
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13.4Catholic University of America-0.350.0%1st Place
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16.84Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Janov | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 18.8% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 15.5% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Robertson | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 13.9% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William McCollum | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Spiccioli | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 17.7% | 46.8% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 24.9% | 23.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 4.4% | 92.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.