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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.76+3.30vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.97+4.19vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.87+1.21vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.31+1.38vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.02-1.24vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.88-1.98vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound1.26-1.47vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.38-0.64vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.51-2.83vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound0.55-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3University of Washington1.760.2%1st Place
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6.19University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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4.21Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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5.38University of Victoria1.310.1%1st Place
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3.76Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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4.02Western Washington University1.880.2%1st Place
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5.53University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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7.36University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Victoria0.510.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fuller | 15.7% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Neil Roberts | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 11.5% |
| Paul Foley | 15.9% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Evan Rankin | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| Bryan Rust | 18.2% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Erika Vranizan | 16.9% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Mike Knape | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Alex Dodd | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 26.8% |
| Phoebe Gilday | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 23.8% |
| John Elam | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.