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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+8.63vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+6.19vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.42+9.29vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+7.57vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.85+1.86vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.89+0.43vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.58+1.88vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.40+1.23vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.28+0.50vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.26vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.83vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.21+1.74vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.34-4.12vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-2.29vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.93-2.32vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.43-3.15vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.68-9.59vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.38-9.18vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin0.13-1.99vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College0.89-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.63Brown University2.375.8%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University2.487.5%1st Place
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12.29University of Rhode Island1.422.9%1st Place
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11.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.453.2%1st Place
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6.86Yale University2.8510.1%1st Place
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6.43Stanford University2.8910.5%1st Place
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8.88Boston College2.585.2%1st Place
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9.23Roger Williams University2.405.3%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Naval Academy2.285.2%1st Place
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10.26University of Pennsylvania2.164.0%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.6%1st Place
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13.74Cornell University1.211.7%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College2.346.5%1st Place
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11.71St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Miami1.933.0%1st Place
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12.85Tufts University1.432.5%1st Place
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7.41Tulane University2.688.7%1st Place
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8.82College of Charleston2.386.3%1st Place
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17.01University of Wisconsin0.131.0%1st Place
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14.87Connecticut College0.891.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Reade Decker | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Gilda Dondona | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 10.5% |
| Chase Decker | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| Jack Flores | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Christian Ebbin | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 45.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.