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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.80+2.26vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.93+3.79vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.93+0.14vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+5.15vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.11+0.43vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.39+1.45vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.39-2.63vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.63-1.21vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.47+1.06vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-1.72vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-4.36vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.68-2.42vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.47-2.94vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland0.18-3.03vs Predicted
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16Catholic University of America-0.35-2.96vs Predicted
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17American University-2.14-1.33vs Predicted
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18Hampton University-3.56-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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4.26U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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6.79Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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4.14Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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6.43Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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8.45Old Dominion University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.37George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.79Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.06Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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9.28St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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10.58William and Mary0.680.0%1st Place
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11.06Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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11.97University of Maryland0.180.0%1st Place
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13.04Catholic University of America-0.350.0%1st Place
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15.67American University-2.140.0%1st Place
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16.71Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 22.2% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 15.4% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 16.7% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Robertson | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Janov | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William McCollum | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 19.7% | 20.5% | 4.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 33.3% | 11.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marty Isaacson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 9.2% | 63.2% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 15.3% | 80.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.