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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.73vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.39+3.38vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.93+1.01vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.93+2.87vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.71vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15+3.31vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.39+1.42vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.11-1.84vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+1.40vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.34vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.68-0.44vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.47-0.94vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.18-1.11vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.47-2.94vs Predicted
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15Catholic University of America-0.35-1.88vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.63-8.25vs Predicted
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17American University-2.14-1.34vs Predicted
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18Hampton University-3.56-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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5.38George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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4.01Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
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6.87Old Dominion University1.930.1%1st Place
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4.29U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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9.31St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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8.42Old Dominion University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.16Washington College2.110.1%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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10.56William and Mary0.680.0%1st Place
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11.06Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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11.89University of Maryland0.180.0%1st Place
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11.06Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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13.12Catholic University of America-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.75Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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15.66American University-2.140.0%1st Place
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16.71Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 19.1% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Janov | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 16.0% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 16.2% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Cutting | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Robertson | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 11.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William McCollum | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 4.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 11.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 33.3% | 11.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marty Isaacson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 9.3% | 63.4% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 15.5% | 80.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.