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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University2.14+3.76vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.99+3.01vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.07+1.97vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.12+0.89vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+3.45vs Predicted
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6University of Florida1.73-0.04vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.40+2.16vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.53-1.62vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.95-0.95vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina1.28-2.79vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.15-0.39vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-0.96-0.07vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University2.54-9.18vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-3.38-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.01Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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4.89Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.45Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Florida1.730.1%1st Place
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9.16Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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6.38University of South Florida1.530.1%1st Place
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8.05Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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7.21University of South Carolina1.280.0%1st Place
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10.61Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
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3.82North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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13.81Auburn University-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Danilek | 12.3% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 12.6% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kiener | 11.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Ploch | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Kirby | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 7.9% | 0.5% |
| Christian Koules | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nick Baker | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 29.2% | 22.3% | 1.7% |
| Amanda Heckler | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 8.1% | 18.7% | 53.4% | 6.2% |
| Scott Harris | 20.1% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Ryall | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 5.5% | 91.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.