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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University2.14+3.37vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.28+4.40vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.40+5.61vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.54-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Florida1.73+0.18vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+1.52vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.53-1.24vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.07-3.54vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.99-4.28vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.95-2.80vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.15-1.47vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-0.96-1.02vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-3.38-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.4University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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8.61Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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3.46North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.18University of Florida1.730.1%1st Place
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7.52Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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5.76University of South Florida1.530.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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4.72Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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7.2Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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9.53Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
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12.83Auburn University-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Danilek | 14.9% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 8.9% | 0.4% |
| Scott Harris | 21.7% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Kirby | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan Ploch | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Koules | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 12.7% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Nick Baker | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 27.2% | 20.0% | 1.6% |
| Amanda Heckler | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 16.2% | 55.4% | 6.6% |
| Gregory Ryall | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 5.6% | 91.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.