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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.99+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.53+3.53vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.54+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.28+2.13vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.07-0.73vs Predicted
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6Clemson University2.14-1.97vs Predicted
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7University of Florida1.29-1.00vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.82-0.85vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.15+0.22vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.95-4.14vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-0.96-1.49vs Predicted
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13Florida State University-1.06-2.23vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-3.38-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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5.53University of South Florida1.530.1%1st Place
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3.31North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.13University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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4.03Clemson University2.140.2%1st Place
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6.0University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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7.15Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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9.22Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.86Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
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10.77Florida State University-1.060.0%1st Place
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12.75Auburn University-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Willoughby | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Koules | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 22.5% | 19.6% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 14.3% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 15.7% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Megan Ploch | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Nick Baker | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 22.5% | 24.5% | 13.5% | 0.9% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Heckler | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 28.4% | 33.0% | 4.5% |
| Dalton Edeker | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 12.3% | 23.2% | 42.5% | 6.1% |
| Gregory Ryall | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 88.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.