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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University2.14+3.17vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.07+2.29vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.28+3.17vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.54-0.68vs Predicted
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5University of Florida1.29+1.01vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.53-0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-0.96+3.43vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.99-3.57vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-1.06+1.64vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.82-2.79vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.95-4.23vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.15-2.65vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-3.38-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Clemson University2.140.2%1st Place
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4.29University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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6.17University of South Carolina1.280.0%1st Place
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3.32North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.01University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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5.47University of South Florida1.530.1%1st Place
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10.43University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.43Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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10.64Florida State University-1.060.0%1st Place
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7.21Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.1%1st Place
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6.77Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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9.35Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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12.74Auburn University-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Danilek | 15.9% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 14.7% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Scott Harris | 23.4% | 20.4% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Koules | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Heckler | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 28.8% | 34.1% | 4.7% |
| Ian Willoughby | 12.9% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dalton Edeker | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 10.8% | 24.1% | 41.2% | 6.2% |
| Megan Ploch | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Baker | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 24.6% | 24.2% | 13.6% | 0.8% |
| Gregory Ryall | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 6.8% | 87.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.