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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+2.48vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.99+2.68vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+4.64vs Predicted
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4University of Florida1.73+1.31vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.15+4.46vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.07-1.57vs Predicted
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7Clemson University2.14-2.68vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.40+0.54vs Predicted
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9Duke University0.95-1.67vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.53-4.22vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina1.28-4.73vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-0.96-1.02vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-3.38-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.68Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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7.64Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Florida1.730.1%1st Place
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9.46Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.43University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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4.32Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.54Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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7.33Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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5.78University of South Florida1.530.1%1st Place
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6.27University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
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12.81Auburn University-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 21.9% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 12.2% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan Ploch | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Brandon Kirby | 10.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nick Baker | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 29.3% | 19.7% | 1.1% |
| Richard McCann | 13.4% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 14.9% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 20.0% | 9.5% | 0.2% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Christian Koules | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Heckler | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 55.1% | 7.1% |
| Gregory Ryall | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 5.6% | 91.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.