Race 6A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ian Willoughby 13.2% 11.8% 12.9% 11.4% 13.9% 11.5% 9.3% 7.0% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Richard McCann 11.7% 14.1% 13.9% 13.8% 11.9% 10.8% 9.1% 6.3% 5.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
TJ Danilek 13.6% 14.8% 16.5% 10.7% 11.6% 11.2% 8.7% 6.5% 3.8% 1.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Harris 21.4% 18.8% 16.4% 14.0% 10.3% 8.1% 6.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
David Manley 7.1% 7.5% 7.6% 7.2% 10.1% 9.2% 10.1% 12.2% 11.8% 10.4% 5.0% 1.8% 0.0%
Megan Ploch 4.4% 4.1% 4.8% 5.9% 5.6% 9.7% 8.4% 12.7% 13.7% 15.2% 11.0% 4.3% 0.2%
Brandon Kirby 12.0% 10.2% 9.8% 11.0% 11.6% 9.8% 11.1% 10.6% 8.3% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Nick Baker 1.2% 2.6% 1.5% 3.2% 2.2% 3.8% 3.8% 5.9% 8.8% 15.5% 28.2% 22.1% 1.2%
Kurban Ali 2.3% 2.9% 3.4% 4.4% 4.2% 5.4% 7.2% 8.4% 12.9% 18.2% 20.7% 9.1% 0.9%
Carolina Cassedy 5.3% 4.6% 5.0% 5.8% 7.5% 9.0% 11.7% 11.8% 13.0% 13.8% 9.0% 3.3% 0.2%
Amanda Heckler 0.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 2.0% 2.6% 3.6% 5.4% 7.4% 16.8% 52.6% 6.2%
Christian Koules 7.1% 7.7% 7.8% 11.8% 10.1% 9.4% 11.6% 12.0% 11.2% 7.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Gregory Ryall 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 1.7% 5.1% 91.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.