Race 7A

saisa-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
TJ Danilek 14.1% 14.3% 14.6% 13.4% 12.4% 11.0% 8.3% 6.4% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Christian Koules 7.4% 9.0% 10.2% 10.3% 10.5% 11.8% 11.7% 12.0% 8.5% 5.8% 2.3% 0.5%
Scott Harris 23.2% 18.6% 18.0% 11.5% 11.1% 8.9% 4.6% 2.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Willoughby 12.4% 14.0% 13.8% 12.6% 12.0% 10.5% 9.3% 6.5% 5.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Richard McCann 14.7% 14.9% 13.3% 12.8% 12.2% 10.7% 7.4% 7.0% 3.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Kurban Ali 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 4.5% 5.7% 5.7% 6.7% 8.3% 12.7% 20.5% 17.9% 9.4%
David Beaudry 6.6% 7.5% 7.9% 10.0% 8.5% 11.1% 11.2% 11.4% 12.6% 7.3% 4.5% 1.4%
David Manley 8.1% 6.9% 7.5% 8.2% 9.3% 9.5% 13.1% 12.5% 10.5% 8.5% 4.2% 1.7%
Amanda Heckler 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 2.9% 2.3% 5.0% 9.1% 16.9% 57.8%
Nick Baker 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.8% 2.3% 3.2% 4.6% 8.1% 8.7% 13.2% 28.5% 22.4%
Megan Ploch 4.0% 3.2% 4.4% 6.2% 7.3% 7.3% 9.4% 11.5% 14.7% 15.2% 12.7% 4.1%
Carolina Cassedy 4.5% 5.6% 4.0% 6.9% 7.3% 9.0% 10.8% 11.7% 14.1% 12.7% 11.1% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.