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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+7.98vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.68+5.53vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+8.67vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.85+2.75vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.58+3.88vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40+3.12vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.26vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.16+2.18vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.48-1.01vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+1.90vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.34-1.95vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.37-2.30vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.89-6.61vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.28-4.57vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.89-0.19vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.93-3.58vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.42-4.94vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.21-4.08vs Predicted
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19Tufts University1.43-6.22vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin0.13-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98College of Charleston2.386.3%1st Place
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7.53Tulane University2.688.3%1st Place
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11.67St. Mary's College of Maryland1.793.6%1st Place
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6.75Yale University2.8510.3%1st Place
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8.88Boston College2.585.9%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University2.406.9%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.9%1st Place
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10.18University of Pennsylvania2.164.3%1st Place
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7.99Harvard University2.487.6%1st Place
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11.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.452.5%1st Place
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9.05Dartmouth College2.345.4%1st Place
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9.7Brown University2.375.1%1st Place
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6.39Stanford University2.8910.8%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Naval Academy2.285.2%1st Place
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14.81Connecticut College0.891.5%1st Place
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12.42University of Miami1.932.9%1st Place
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12.06University of Rhode Island1.422.1%1st Place
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13.92Cornell University1.211.8%1st Place
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12.78Tufts University1.432.4%1st Place
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17.19University of Wisconsin0.131.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Christian Ebbin | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Chase Decker | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Reade Decker | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 16.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Gilda Dondona | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 10.7% |
| Jack Flores | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 5.5% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.