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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College-0.15+8.56vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.99+2.56vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.53+2.67vs Predicted
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4Clemson University2.14+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.07-0.61vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.40+2.38vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.54-3.64vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.28-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Florida1.29-2.85vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.95-3.95vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.82-4.43vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-0.96-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.56Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.56Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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5.67University of South Florida1.530.1%1st Place
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4.26Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.39University of Miami2.070.2%1st Place
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8.38Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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3.36North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.22University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Florida1.290.1%1st Place
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7.05Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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7.57Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Georgia-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Baker | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 29.6% | 22.4% |
| Ian Willoughby | 11.8% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christian Koules | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| TJ Danilek | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Richard McCann | 15.1% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 9.1% |
| Scott Harris | 24.0% | 20.7% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| David Beaudry | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 2.7% |
| Megan Ploch | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 3.8% |
| Amanda Heckler | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 8.4% | 17.7% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.