Race 9A

saisa-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ian Willoughby 12.8% 11.4% 13.0% 12.5% 12.0% 11.2% 9.5% 8.4% 5.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Christian Koules 6.9% 9.7% 9.4% 10.0% 9.7% 11.3% 10.4% 12.4% 10.0% 6.6% 3.1% 0.5%
Scott Harris 23.5% 19.9% 13.2% 13.9% 10.8% 7.8% 6.1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Richard McCann 12.8% 14.6% 14.0% 12.4% 11.5% 10.5% 10.4% 7.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Megan Ploch 3.3% 4.0% 5.7% 4.5% 7.8% 7.7% 9.9% 10.5% 14.8% 16.1% 11.7% 4.0%
Nick Baker 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 2.2% 2.8% 3.3% 4.7% 4.9% 9.5% 16.2% 29.4% 22.4%
Kurban Ali 3.1% 3.2% 2.8% 4.7% 5.2% 5.3% 6.6% 9.7% 13.3% 17.5% 20.9% 7.7%
David Manley 8.0% 6.7% 8.6% 7.2% 8.3% 10.1% 10.1% 12.1% 13.2% 9.2% 4.9% 1.6%
Carolina Cassedy 3.5% 4.5% 5.7% 7.0% 8.2% 9.6% 10.3% 12.6% 13.8% 14.7% 8.4% 1.7%
TJ Danilek 14.8% 15.1% 14.3% 13.0% 11.7% 10.5% 9.2% 5.1% 3.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Brandon Kirby 8.9% 8.7% 11.4% 11.6% 10.9% 10.9% 10.8% 10.6% 8.6% 5.6% 1.8% 0.2%
Amanda Heckler 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 3.1% 2.9% 7.8% 16.8% 61.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.