Race 10A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Scott Harris 20.3% 19.9% 15.8% 13.2% 11.2% 7.8% 5.7% 3.0% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Willoughby 11.7% 13.0% 12.5% 12.9% 12.7% 10.9% 10.2% 7.7% 5.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.3%
David Manley 7.0% 5.7% 7.5% 8.0% 8.4% 9.8% 12.6% 12.8% 12.6% 10.1% 4.5% 1.0%
Richard McCann 12.1% 14.0% 13.4% 12.9% 11.2% 12.4% 8.4% 7.4% 5.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Christian Koules 8.0% 8.3% 9.0% 9.1% 10.9% 12.3% 11.4% 11.6% 8.7% 6.5% 4.0% 0.2%
Megan Ploch 3.8% 3.6% 5.3% 6.9% 5.6% 7.2% 9.9% 10.9% 15.1% 17.7% 10.0% 4.0%
Carolina Cassedy 4.9% 4.3% 5.9% 7.3% 7.6% 9.0% 8.5% 11.8% 14.2% 14.3% 8.9% 3.3%
Brandon Kirby 11.4% 10.4% 10.8% 10.8% 10.9% 10.6% 12.3% 9.6% 6.6% 4.2% 1.6% 0.8%
TJ Danilek 16.3% 15.5% 14.0% 12.9% 11.4% 10.3% 8.8% 6.2% 3.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Nick Baker 1.4% 2.2% 2.4% 1.6% 3.6% 2.8% 4.6% 6.2% 8.9% 15.4% 28.9% 22.0%
Kurban Ali 2.6% 2.2% 2.8% 3.8% 4.7% 4.9% 6.0% 10.2% 13.7% 18.3% 21.2% 9.6%
Amanda Heckler 0.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 1.8% 2.0% 1.6% 2.6% 3.8% 7.3% 19.6% 58.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.