Race 11A

saisa-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christian Koules 7.6% 8.7% 9.3% 9.8% 10.7% 12.3% 13.4% 12.0% 9.8% 4.7% 1.6% 0.1%
TJ Danilek 14.3% 17.0% 13.4% 14.1% 12.7% 10.1% 8.6% 5.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Richard McCann 14.9% 12.9% 14.9% 12.9% 13.1% 11.4% 9.8% 5.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Harris 22.7% 21.0% 17.2% 13.4% 11.1% 6.3% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
David Beaudry 6.3% 6.7% 7.4% 10.1% 10.8% 11.0% 12.5% 11.6% 11.0% 9.7% 2.3% 0.6%
Ian Willoughby 14.6% 12.3% 14.3% 13.0% 11.2% 11.8% 10.1% 6.4% 4.0% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0%
David Manley 6.7% 8.4% 7.9% 9.7% 10.0% 9.9% 11.0% 15.6% 10.1% 7.1% 2.8% 0.8%
Megan Ploch 5.0% 5.3% 5.2% 5.8% 7.8% 9.0% 8.7% 12.8% 16.9% 13.9% 8.3% 1.3%
Nick Baker 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 4.3% 6.3% 8.7% 13.9% 25.1% 20.9% 11.5%
Carolina Cassedy 5.0% 4.7% 7.6% 6.6% 7.5% 10.8% 10.4% 14.5% 15.8% 11.0% 4.8% 1.3%
Dalton Edeker 1.0% 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 2.3% 2.9% 5.2% 10.6% 29.9% 43.5%
Amanda Heckler 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 1.9% 2.7% 2.2% 5.5% 13.4% 28.7% 40.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.